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What's a Company Really Worth? From Multiples to DCF

by JoySchooler Learner
A hands-on journey through stock valuation: learn to read financial statements, compare companies with the right multiples for the right business, and finally build an intrinsic valuation with discounted cash flows.
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Reading the Raw Material

Lesson 1
The $100 Billion Illusion: Why Price Tells You Nothing image

The $100 Billion Illusion: Why Price Tells You Nothing

In June 2014, Apple's stock price collapsed 86% overnight — and not a single investor lost a cent. What is a share price actually telling you?
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Lesson 2
The $5 Latte Autopsy: Where Did the Money Go? image

The $5 Latte Autopsy: Where Did the Money Go?

A grocery giant sells 37 times more than a small software firm, yet somehow it isn't 37 times the business — following one dollar of a latte's price down the income statement reveals why most of every sale quietly disappears.
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Lesson 3
Record Profits, Empty Vault: The Death of W.T. Grant image

Record Profits, Empty Vault: The Death of W.T. Grant

A retail giant reported profits almost every year for decades, right up until it suddenly went bankrupt — the income statement said everything was fine, so what was it hiding?
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Comparing Companies: Relative Valuation

Lesson 4
The $150,000 Lemonade Stand image

The $150,000 Lemonade Stand

Two companies earn exactly the same profit, yet the market pays more than twice as much for one of them — is somebody making a mistake, or does the most famous number in investing know something you don't?
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Lesson 5
When Profits Don't Exist: P/S and the Story of Unprofitable Giants image

When Profits Don't Exist: P/S and the Story of Unprofitable Giants

Amazon lost money for years while its stock soared. How do you value a company with no profits?
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Lesson 6
EV/EBITDA: The Multiple Professionals Prefer image

EV/EBITDA: The Multiple Professionals Prefer

Two companies with identical P/E ratios can be wildly different deals. Find the number that reveals why.
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Lesson 7
Growth Changes Everything: The PEG Ratio image

Growth Changes Everything: The PEG Ratio

A high P/E might be a bargain and a low P/E a trap. Learn to price growth itself.
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Lesson 8
Horses for Courses: Matching Multiples to Business Types image

Horses for Courses: Matching Multiples to Business Types

Why banks, supermarkets, and software firms need completely different yardsticks — and what happens when analysts mix them up.
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Valuing From Scratch: Intrinsic Valuation

Lesson 9
A Dollar Tomorrow: The Time Value of Money image

A Dollar Tomorrow: The Time Value of Money

The single idea underneath every valuation ever done. Master it, and DCF becomes simple.
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Lesson 10
Building Your First DCF image

Building Your First DCF

Forecast cash flows, discount them, add them up — value a real company with your own assumptions.
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Lesson 11
The Terminal Value Problem: Where DCFs Go Wrong image

The Terminal Value Problem: Where DCFs Go Wrong

Most of a DCF's value comes from one fragile number. Learn why small tweaks swing valuations wildly.
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Lesson 12
Putting It Together: The Full Valuation Verdict image

Putting It Together: The Full Valuation Verdict

Multiples say one thing, your DCF says another. Learn how real analysts reconcile them and decide.
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